Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Michigan Primary Still In Play, But Likely To Be A Close Romney Win

So far its Romney slightly ahead of Santorum but there's still many votes yet to be counted. Ron Paul is in third with 11% and Newt Gingrich is in fourth with 7% of the vote.

The Detroit News: Romney wins Arizona, battles Santorum in tight Michigan race

Oh, and 40% of the voters in one sample of this Primary battle were Democrats.

Of 1,631 voters interviewed by the Associated Press, 6 in 10 were Republicans, reflecting state rules that allow others to vote in the GOP contest. Santorum has shown greater strength among the party's more conservative voters, while Romney has done well with party moderates

Most likely Romney will eke out a victory in Michigan, and then the winner on Super Tuesday is anybody's guess.

Its still possible for any of the cansdidates still in to win, as there remains lots of delegates to be won:
So far, Romney has 123 delegates to 72 for Santorum. Gingrich has 32 and Paul has 19, based on an Associated Press count. It takes 1,144 delegates to win the party nomination at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Fla., this summer.
With luck the candidates will all get it together and get to some decent campaigning.

Oh, and to both Romney's and Santorum's campaigns, please note that your multiple robo-calls were really unappreciated and didn't help your cause.


Designated Conservative said...

The robo-calls were relentless. I received exactly one call from a human being, from the Santorum campaign.

Because conventional wisdom in the GOP was that MI was not a contested state, neither Romney nor Santorum had prepared much of a ground game. That's why the robo-calls were such a big part of the attack.

40% "non-republicans" voted in what our state GOP leaders insisted would be a "closed primary." Never again. Letting Democrats choose our nominees must stop.

Aaron said...

I'd say they've all run quite lackluster primary campaigns so far.

Not sure how they'll keep the Democrats out unless they radically change the system. On the other hand, turnabout is going to be fair play.