Tuesday, November 26, 2024

Possible Lebanon Ceasefire Agreement As IDF Reaches The Litani

Israel fought through Hezbollah and reached the Litani river in Lebanon yesterday.

This is rather a big deal.  The reason is that Hezbollah, per UN Security Council Resolution 1701 that ended the 2006 Lebanon War, was supposed to remain north of the Litani with nothing but the Lebanese Army and UNIFIL deployed south of the Litani.  Obviously Hezbollah ignored the resolution and it was unenforced - until now, by Israel.

So now, Hezbollah wants a ceasefire after launching thousands of rockets at Israel since October 7 of last year and finding out that was not a good choice on their part as Israel decapitated their leadership, destroyed their weapon depots and have been nailing their positions in Southern Lebanon and driving them across the Litani.

The Detroit News: Israel bombards Beirut suburbs as its leadership prepares to vote on ceasefire with Hezbollah

Assuming Hezbollah actually abides by the terms of the proposed ceasefire it would achieve the majority of Israel's aims in this conflict -  Hezbollah would have to actually stay north of the Litani, and stop shooting missiles at Israel so Israelis living in the north of Israel who have been displaced by the rocket and artillery fire since last October could come home. 

We will see if the ceasefire is implemented and how long it lasts before  Hezbollah starts breaking the terms - and if the world will try and stop Israel from enforcing the agreement, which is apparently a sticking point.

1 comment:

ccm2361 said...

I will wager, that this agreement will be violated within 7 days. Maybe even less